Europe’s Crisis May End in a ‘Violent Blow-Up’: Galbraith
Mon, Oct 24, 2011, 9:54 PM EDTBy Stacy Curtin | Daily Ticker
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/europe-crisis-may-end-violent-blow-galbraith-161311592.html;_ylt=AmAt9zcylEXkpc6Tb2lRSrwp2YdG;_ylu=X3oDMTE2MjM4bGFoBG1pdANEVCBJbmRleARwb3MDMTEEc2VjA01lZGlhQmxvZ0luZGV4;_ylg=X3oDMTFpMm9iMzh1BGludGwDdXMEbGFuZwNlbi11cwRwc3RhaWQDBHBzdGNhdANibG9nBHB0A3NlY3Rpb25z;_ylv=3
1 - A "Crew Cut" for Greece: Basically, due to deteriorating fundamentals, it's not certain that big haircuts for bondholders are an inevitability.
2 - A larger bank re-cap: The number is now up to 100-110 billion EUR.
3 - External support for the EFSF?: There's definitely chatter about more IMF/SWF/BRIC involvement to leverage the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), which would be viewed as a market positive.
4 - Italy Holds The Keys: Italian reforms must happen right away. Berlusconi is already holding emergency cabinet meetings.
5 -Towards Treaty Changes: There's some nascent movement to treaty changes that would see more fiscal integration.
6 - Redistributing Growth: Plans are underway for new schemes, likely via the EuropeanInvestment Bank, to boost growth in the periphery.
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