Wednesday 16 March 2011

Is Gold in a Bubble?


Is Gold in a Bubble?

Please see Hussman’s arti­cle for the charts he mentions.
I agree with Huss­man about the bub­ble in com­modi­ties not only because of the spec­u­la­tion angle but also because of unsus­tain­able growth in China. When China stalls, it will likely take com­modi­ties and the com­mod­ity pro­duc­ing coun­tries down with it, notably Aus­tralia and Canada.
Finally, gold is act­ing more like a cur­rency than a natural-resource com­mod­ity (because that is what it is). It may or may not be immune to a commodity-related sell­off, and much depends on the actions of cen­tral banks down the road.

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