Saturday 23 April 2011

Silver Price History: 2000 to Present

http://www.silverinstitute.org/

Price History: 2000 to Present

(yearly average prices based on London PM Fix)
Silver prices remained under pressure for most of 2000, averaging $4.95 per troy ounce. The trading range did manage to increase marginally year-on-year, recording a high of $5.45 in February of 2000 and a low of $4.57 in December. The silver price softened throughout the year, largely because of continued Chinese government sales and ongoing private disinvestment.
In 2001, silver prices averaged $4.37 per troy ounce. The metal ended the year on a much-brighter note, with silver fixing at $4.52 on December 31, only 7 cents down from the year's first trading day.
In the face of an enduring global economic slowdown, the silver price demonstrated resilience in 2002. With an average price of $4.60 per ounce in 2002, silver recorded a 5-percent year-on-year increase over 2001. Silver retained its characteristics as a precious metal, rising in value during periods of crisis last year.
The average silver price in 2003 was $4.85 per ounce - a 5.4-percent increase over 2002. Much stronger investment interest and the improved fabrication demand scenario, which picked up strongly from the third-quarter onwards, propelled the silver price to $5.97 per ounce at year's end.
The silver price in 2004 staged a dramatic rally, rising a robust 36 percent to average $6.66 per ounce. This compared to an average price of $4.85 in 2003. This stunning price performance reflects fundamental changes in silver's supply/demand balance. Last year also saw a boom in investor activity, mainly driven by funds operating on futures exchanges and considerable buy side interest from high net-worth individuals.
In 2005, the silver price experienced a 10 percent increase over the average 2004 price of $6.65 per ounce, to an average of $7.31 per ounce.
In 2006, the silver price experienced a 58 percent increase over the average 2005 price of $7.31 per ounce. The silver price reached levels not seen in 26 years and was the leader when compared with gold (36 percent increase) and platinum (27 percent increase). The primary factor driving the stronger silver price was the continued strength of investment demand, which returned in earnest in 2005, was sustained in 2006. Much of the investment demand can be attributed to the successful launch of Barclays' Global Investors iShares Silver Trust Exchange Traded Fund (ETF), which was introduced in late April 2006.
The annual silver price, led by continued strong investor and industrial applications demand, averaged an impressive US$13.38 in 2007. This result represented a 16 percent price increase over 2006, and on a percentage basis was stronger than that enjoyed by gold, platinum and palladium last year. When looking at the 2007 silver price, the white metal posted a very solid performance to averages not seen since 1980. A key development in silver’s recent fortune has been the pronounced shift in investor behavior, witnessed by the continued presence of investors on the demand side of the equation since 2004.
During the first half of 2008, investors drove the silver price up above the US$20/oz mark (a high of US$20.92 oz was recorded in March) against a backdrop of generally firm fabrication demand. The second half of 2008 was a different story as the economic outlook deteriorated rapidly, and silver, as well as other metal prices, slumped. However, silver’s price in the first third of 2009 recovered a good part of the lost ground.
In 2008, a record inflow of over 93.1 Moz into the three main silver ETFs was instrumental in the high price average, as investors propelled silver to multidecade highs, in not only daily price terms but also in the annual average.
Coins and medals fabrication jumped by an astonishing 63 percent to a record of 64.9 Moz in 2008. The main reason for this was a surge in investment-related purchases of bullion coins, both in the United States and Europe. Notably, fabrication of the U.S. Silver Eagle bullion coin achieved a record 19.6 Moz last year, approximately double the 2007 figure, and would have been higher if the U.S. Mint had sufficient blanks to produce coins to meet demand. In 2009, physical silver investment demand has continued to increase, as the U.S. Mint has already achieved a nearly 70 percent year-on-year rise in the first quarter.

Silver posted an average price of $14.67 in 2009, the second highest average since the high reached in 1980. Strong gains in investment and a recovery in demand later in the year, were the prime reasons for the 53 percent intra-year rise.
Much of 2009’s strength in investment can be attributed to soaring demand for silver exchange traded funds (ETFs) as well as physical retail investment. This occurred on the heels of 2008’s previous record ETF inflow of 265.3 million ounces (Moz) of silver. Total ETF holdings rose by 132.5 Moz over the course of 2009, ending the year at an impressive 397.8 Moz as new funds entered the marketplace from Australia and the United States.
In 2009, coins and medals fabrication rose by an impressive 21 percent to post a new record of 78.7 Moz, driven by a jump in retail demand, principally in the United States, although western European demand was also stronger in 2009. In the United States, the increase in its bullion coin sales was also accompanied by a surge in bar demand. Of note, demand for the U.S. Silver Eagle bullion coin reached record highs in 2009, with over 28 million Eagles sold. To put last year’s performance into context, over the 1986-2008 period, U.S. Eagle minting averaged 7.7 Moz per year.

Silver posted an average price of $20.19 in 2010, a level only surpassed in 1980, and a marked increase over the $14.67 average price in 2009.

World investment rose by an impressive 40 percent in 2010 to 279.3 million troy ounces (Moz), resulting in a net flow into silver of $5.6 billion, almost doubling 2009’s figure.

Exchange traded funds (ETFs) registered another sterling performance in 2010, with global ETF holdings reaching an impressive 582.6 Moz, representing an increase of 114.9 Moz over the total in 2009. The iShares Silver Trust accounted for almost 40 percent of the increase, with other notable gains achieved by Zurcher Kantonalbank, ETF Securities, and the Sprott Physical Silver Trust.

A significant boost in retail silver investment demand paved the way for higher investment in both physical bullion bars and in coins and medals in 2010. Physical bullion bars accounted for 55.6 Moz of the world investment in 2010. Coins and medals fabrication rose by 28 percent to post a new record of 101.3 Moz. In the United States, over 34.6 million U.S. Silver Eagle coins were minted, smashing the previous record set in 2009 at almost 29 million. Other key silver bullion coins reaching milestones include the Australian Kookaburra, the Austrian Philharmoniker, and the Canadian Maple Leaf–all three posting record highs in 2010.



Price: Background

Silver is a commodity that is traded 24 hours a day in the world’s market centers – London, Zurich, New York, Chicago and Hong Kong.
The London market started trading in the 17th century, and it – like other major markets – provides a vehicle for those who wish to trade in physical silver on a spot basis, or on a forward basis for hedging purposes.
The London market has a "fix" which offers the chance to buy or sell silver at a single price. The fix begins at 12:15 p.m. and is a balancing exercise; the price is fixed at the point at which all the members of the "Fixing" can balance their own, plus clients’, buying and selling orders.
Although London remains the true center of the physical silver trade for most of the world, the most significant paper contracts trading market for silver in the United States is the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Spot prices for silver are determined by levels prevailing at the COMEX; and although there is no equivalent to the London fix, Handy & Harman, a precious metals company, also publishes a price at noon each working day.
A primary factor affecting the price of silver is the available supply versus fabrication demand. In recent years, fabrication demand has greatly outpaced mine production forcing market participants to draw down existing stocks to meet demand. As these available sources continue to decline, silver's fundamentals continue to strengthen. However, since silver is a tangible asset, and is recognized as a store of value, its price can also be affected by changes in things such as inflation (real or perceived), changing values of paper currencies, and fluctuations in deficits and interest rates, to name a few.
To read about the evolution of the silver market from 1950 through present click here.
To view silver price data tables from other sources please select one of the links below.

Sites to Check for Silver Prices


Monthly Prices
COMEX Spot Price (1996-2010)
London Fix — Monthly Prices (1996-2011)

Historical Prices (1975-2010)
COMEX Spot
London Fix




All information on this website is for educational purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advise. Any statements about profits or income, expressed or implied, does not represent a guarantee. Your actual trading may result in losses as no trading system is guaranteed. You accept full responsibilities for your actions, trades, profit or loss, and agree to hold MinKL Invest harmless in any and all ways.

Silver Demand and Supply in 2010

http://www.silverinstitute.org/supply_demand.php

Demand and Supply in 2010

Demand

Total fabrication demand grew by 12.8 percent to a 10-year high of 878.8 Moz in 2010; this surge was led by the industrial demand category. Last year, silver’s use in industrial applications grew by 20.7 percent to 487.4 Moz, nearly recovering all the recession-induced losses in 2009, and is now seeing pronounced advances in 2011. Jewelry posted a gain of 5.1 percent, the first substantial rise since 2003, primarily due to strong GDP gains in emerging markets and the industrialized world’s improving economic picture. Photography fell by 6.6 Moz, realizing its smallest loss in nine years, as medical centers deferred conversion to digital systems. Silverware demand fell to 50.3 Moz from 58.2 Moz in 2009, essentially due to lower demand in India.
World Silver Demand

Supply

Silver mine production rose by 2.5 percent to 735.9 Moz in 2010 aided by new projects in Mexico and Argentina. Gains came from primary silver mines and as a by-product of lead/zinc mining activity, whereas silver volumes produced as a by-product of gold fell 4 percent last year. Mexico eclipsed Peru as the world’s largest silver producing country in 2010, and Peru is followed by China, Australia and Chile. Global primary silver supply recorded a 5 percent increase to account for 30 percent of total mine production in 2010.

Top 20 Silver Producing Countries in 2010
(millions of ounces)
1.Mexico128.6
2.Peru116.1
3.China99.2
4.Australia59.9
5.Chile41.0
6.Bolivia41.0
7.United States38.6
8.Poland37.7
9.Russia36.8
10.Argentina20.6
11.Canada18.0
12.Kazakhstan17.6
13.Turkey12.3
14.Morocco9.7
15.India9.7
16.Sweden9.2
17.Indonesia6.9
18.Guatemala6.3
19.Iran3.4
20.South Africa2.8
Primary silver mine cash costs remained relatively flat year-on-year, falling by less than 1 percent to $5.27/oz. from a revised $5.29/oz. in 2009.
Net silver supply from above-ground stocks increased to 142.9 Moz in 2010, primarily due to higher scrap supply, a shift of net-producer hedging to the supply side, and a considerable rise in net-government stock sales. Regarding scrap supply, 2010 witnessed a 14 percent increase over 2009 as gains in industrial and jewelry recycling exceeded an ongoing decline in recovery from photographic sources.
The swing to net-producer hedging of 61.1 Moz ended a four-year run of de-hedging and is attributed to higher silver prices and was limited to a group of by-product, rather than primary silver producers.
Net government sales of silver rose to 44.8 Moz, primarily the result of increased sales from Russia, with China and India remaining relatively silent for the second consecutive year.

Supply from Above-Ground Stocks
(Million ounces)20092010
Bullion  
Implied Net Disinvestment-120.7-178.0
Net Producer Hedging-22.361.1
Net Government Sales15.544.8
Sub-total Bullion-127.5-72.1
Old Silver Scrap188.4215.0
Total60.9142.9

World Silver Supply and Demand

To document these and other market fundamentals, each year the Silver Institute works with GFMS Limited, of London, a leading research company, to prepare and publish an annual report of worldwide silver supply and demand trends, with special emphasis on key markets and regions. This annual survey also includes current information on prices and leasing rates, mine production, investment and fabrication.
To learn more about the general production and uses of silver, please see our Production and Uses pages. For articles related to supply and demand, see the Silver Newsarchives.
World Silver Supply and Demand
(in millions of ounces)
 2001200220032004200520062007200820092010
Supply
Mine Production606.2593.9596.6613.0637.3641.7665.4681.9718.3735.9
Net Government Sales63.059.288.761.965.978.542.528.915.544.8
Old Silver Scrap189.0196.3194.0195.2198.6203.3199.0193.7188.4215.0
Producer Hedging18.9----9.627.6--------61.1
Implied Net Disinvestment--18.91.6--------------
Total Supply877.1868.3881.0879.7929.5923.5907.0904.5922.21,056.8
 
Demand
Fabrication          
Industrial Applications349.7355.3368.4387.4431.8454.2491.1492.7403.8487.4
Photography213.1204.3192.9178.8160.3142.2117.6101.379.372.7
Jewelry174.3168.9179.2174.8173.8166.3163.5158.3158.9167.0
Silverware106.183.583.967.267.661.058.557.158.250.3
Coins & Medals30.531.635.742.440.039.839.765.479.0101.3
Total Fabrication873.6843.5860.1850.6873.6863.5870.3874.7779.2878.8
Producer De-Hedging--24.820.9----6.824.211.622.3--
Implied Net Investment3.6----29.155.953.212.518.2120.7178.0
Total Demand877.1868.3881.0879.7929.5923.5907.0904.5922.21,056.8
 
Silver Price
(London US$/oz)
4.3704.5994.8796.6587.31211.54913.38414.98914.67420.193

SOURCE: World Silver Survey 2011



All information on this website is for educational purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advise. Any statements about profits or income, expressed or implied, does not represent a guarantee. Your actual trading may result in losses as no trading system is guaranteed. You accept full responsibilities for your actions, trades, profit or loss, and agree to hold MinKL Invest harmless in any and all ways.